Here's a stock I've been wrong about. I've been bearish on J. Crew Group (JCG), as this previous article will indicate. But since the latest quarterly results show a vast improvement of the retailer's fundamentals, I guess you could say I was decidedly behind the curve.

According to the earnings release, revenues increased 14% in the third quarter. Same-store sales advanced 8%. Net income more than doubled to 67 cents per diluted share. A lot of this good news was expected, as Trey Thoelcke pointed out in his earnings preview. Still, the bottom line beat the analysts by several pennies. And you've got to love the increase seen in the gross margin.

Continue reading J. Crew reports an excellent quarter: Is the stock a buy before the holidays?

J. Crew reports an excellent quarter: Is the stock a buy before the holidays? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 25 Nov 2009 09:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Ann Taylor (ANN) was upgraded Monday, according to TheStreet.com. Jesup & Lamont calls the stock a buy now instead of a hold. You're never far from the analyst game when you trade on Wall Street. Question is, what should you do about this retailer? Should you give it a position in your own portfolio?

I'm not the biggest fan of Ann Taylor. I don't like the fundamentals. I made this amply clear back in August when I discussed the company's second quarter.

Continue reading Ann Taylor upgraded: Ignore the stock or buy ahead of earnings report?

Ann Taylor upgraded: Ignore the stock or buy ahead of earnings report? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 17 Nov 2009 09:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage on BloggingStocks:

• Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (ANF) lower Q3 results still topped expectations and sent shares higher.
• Applied Materials Inc. (AMAT) posted much better-than-expected Q4 earnings, the first profit in a year.
• AstraZeneca (AZN) received an analyst's downgrade due to concerns over its earnings prospects.
• Blackstone Group (BX) received an analyst's upgrade following the company's Q3 results.
• Blockbuster Inc. (BBI) widened its net loss in Q3 and revenue and same-stores sales declined.
• Clean Energy Fuels Corp. (CLNE) shares declined after its Q3 numbers fell short of expectations.
• Consolidated Water Co. Inc. (CWCO) earnings prospects for 2010 earned it an analyst upgrade.

Continue reading Earnings highlights: Abercrombie, Blockbuster, Disney, Macy's, Walmart ...

Earnings highlights: Abercrombie, Blockbuster, Disney, Macy's, Walmart ... originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sat, 14 Nov 2009 14:10:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Back in August, I discussed my amazement at Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF). The stock just didn't seem to be acting in a manner which reflected the fundamentals of the business it represents. Well, my bout of amazement continues, because shares of the retailer are up 9% as of this writing on the latest earnings report. One that didn't impress me.

For the third quarter, Abercrombie made, on a reported basis, 44 cents per diluted share compared to 72 cents per diluted share in the year-ago period. After adjustments, earnings came in at 30 cents per share. Okay, that profit drop is bad enough, but wait till I get to the really bad stuff. Which would be revenues. Total sales declined 15%, but same-store sales were even worse: they plunged off the proverbial cliff, falling 22%.

Continue reading Abercrombie & Fitch: A momentum play after Q3 release?

Abercrombie & Fitch: A momentum play after Q3 release? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 13 Nov 2009 18:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

The future investment stars are already with us. The NYSE Financial Future Challenge, operated by the NYSE Foundation, By Kids for Kids, K12 Inc. and the United Investors Association, is in full swing, with five finalists just identified. To reach this level, the participants had to develop a new product, idea or process that would "excite, educate and motivate their peers" to become interested in the financial marketplace. The eventual winner lurks within this subset and will receive a $2,500 prize -- a great way to get that portfolio started. And, he or she will be feted at a closing bell ceremony at the NYSE (NYX) on January 11, 2010.

The finalists presented a variety of ideas which are sure to generate some buzz. Kelsey Foss, a 12-year-old from Mountainville, NY, proposed a new television show, "Stock Market Tycoon Idol," which would harness the popularity of reality TV while amping up the content. The program would involve the journeys of 10 kids as they seek to make money or lose it, with the possibility of becoming virtual millionaires along the way. The show would be set at a mock NYSE studio on Wall Street, and exports would be brought out to mentor the contestants. The reality TV reach would help engage a younger audience.

Continue reading Tomorrow's gurus shine in NYSE Financial Future Challenge

Tomorrow's gurus shine in NYSE Financial Future Challenge originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 13 Nov 2009 09:15:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading Before the bell: Stock futures higher ahead of consumer sentiment, trade gap data

Before the bell: Stock futures higher ahead of consumer sentiment, trade gap data originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 13 Nov 2009 07:45:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Could we see a bit of a drop from American Eagle Outfitters (NYSE: AEO) today? The retailer announced that its October same-store sales fell 5%, when the Street expected an increase of 1.7%. This disparity certainly seems to suggest that we could see the stock fall in today's trading action. The equity may find a measure of support from its 10-week moving average, which has filled this role throughout the stock's calendar-year rally. There seems to be some long-term support from AEO's 10-, 20-, and 50-month moving averages; all of which are in the $15 -$17 region. If the stock is going to fall, this support could be crucial. A drop through this resistance could spell a stock slide.

Continue reading Checking on sales at Aeropostale and Abercrombie & Fitch

Checking on sales at Aeropostale and Abercrombie & Fitch originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 05 Nov 2009 12:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading Tween retailers provide a glimmer of hope for the retail sector

Tween retailers provide a glimmer of hope for the retail sector originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 08 Oct 2009 10:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

There's a difference between a CEO that's paid well and one that's raking in loot he clearly doesn't deserve. The former may invoke a bit of ire in this economic climate, but when cooler heads prevail, the cash laid out is usually but a rounding error on the increases in market cap he's driven. An overpaid CEO, on the other hand ... well, it's a bit harder to justify the inflated package.

Kerri Chyka over at CNN Money reports that the Corporate Library sifted through the bloated and legit packages out there to let us know which top dogs are rolling in dough that should probably be left in the company coffers.

1. Michael Jeffries, Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE: ANF)
Last year, Michael Jeffries made $71.8 million in total, with a base salary of $1.5 million, according to corporate governance research firm, the Corporate Library. It even included a $6 million retention bonus ... because you want to hang on to a guy who the research firm calls one of the five "Highest Paid Worst Performers" of 2008. If that stings, Jeffries can hop on the Abercrombie corporate jet instead of running away. He's paid better than 75% of rival CEOs, while the share price generally underperformed them.

2. James W. Stewart, BJ Services Company (NYSE: BJS)
James Stewart had a good year in 2008, as it outperformed most of its peers, and he nailed a $34.6 million package. In all fairness, $30 million came from the value realized on stock options. The four years that preceded Stewart's strong performance, on the other hand, were lackluster. The future, it seems, is immaterial, as Baker Hughes picked up BJ Services last month, and Stewart will probably be out the door at the end of the year, when the deal closes.

Continue reading Five overpaid CEOs to make you jealous

Five overpaid CEOs to make you jealous originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 29 Sep 2009 15:20:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE: ANF) is being sued by a Muslim teenager who wanted to work at an Abercrombie Kids store in Oklahoma's Woodland Hills Mall. When she applied in June 2008, Samantha Elauf was told that the hijab she wears is inconsistent with Abercrombie's "Look Policy." So, the 17-year-old took her concerns to U.S. District Court on Wednesday, where a lawsuit was filed by the Equal Employment Opportunity Commission.

A spokeswoman for the retailer wouldn't comment on the lawsuit but did indicate that the store has a strong policy around equal employment opportunity and that it accommodates religious practices "when possible."

Continue reading Muslim teen sues Abercrombie over its 'Look Policy'

Muslim teen sues Abercrombie over its 'Look Policy' originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sun, 20 Sep 2009 15:10:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Here are some highlights from last week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

• Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (NYSE: ANF) earnings prospects and declining sales resulted in a downgrade.
• America's Car-Mart Inc. (NASDAQ: CRMT) stronger-than-expected Q1 results led shares to a four-year high.
• ArcSight Inc. (NASDAQ: ARST) reported strong Q1 numbers on increasing demand for cyber security.
• Brown-Forman Inc. (NYSE: BF.B) Q1 results easily topped expectations despite a decline in revenue.
• Ciena Corp. (NASDAQ: CIEN) posted a Q3 loss but revenue improved sequentially, and shares rose.

Continue reading Earnings highlights: Ciena, Del Monte, Hovnanian, Krispy Kreme, Movado ...

Earnings highlights: Ciena, Del Monte, Hovnanian, Krispy Kreme, Movado ... originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sat, 05 Sep 2009 14:10:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Retail sales were down for the twelfth month in a row in August, according to an Associated Press report. Consumers stayed focused on what they need rather than what they want, as unemployment remains high and even those employed worry about the future of their jobs.

The silver lining, though, is that the coming holiday season might not be as bad as many thought.

Some retailers actually showed gains. TJMaxx (NYSE: TJX) and Old Navy, a Gap (NYSE: GPS) company, for example, saw year-over-year sales increases, though upscale stores generally sustained declines. The action on the discount side could be an early sign that the consumer is ready to play.

Continue reading Twelve straight months of retail sales declines

Twelve straight months of retail sales declines originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 04 Sep 2009 09:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading Same-store sales plummet at Abercrombie & Fitch

Same-store sales plummet at Abercrombie & Fitch originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 03 Sep 2009 10:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

American Eagle Outfitters (NYSE: AEO), a fashion retailer that competes with Gap (NYSE: GPS) and Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE: ANF), didn't do too well in Q2. Total sales went down 5%, and earnings per share on a GAAP basis fell a most awful 50% to 14 cents. According to Bloomberg, the adjusted earnings of 12 cents per share came up short of analyst expectations by three pennies.

Same-store sales hit the double-digit mark to the downside: they decreased 10%. Not a good number for this kind of business. Promotional markdowns helped to drive the gross margin down. The operating margin also took a hit.

Continue reading American Eagle Outfitters bombs with comps in the second quarter

American Eagle Outfitters bombs with comps in the second quarter originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 28 Aug 2009 09:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Aeropostale (NYSE: ARO), a retailer that competes with Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE: ANF), American Eagle Outfitters (NYSE: AEO), and Gap (NYSE: GPS), posted what I thought was a superb second-quarter earnings summary on Thursday after the bell. The figures were very appealing, and I would've expected a better after-hours reaction by the stock to the news. Then again, the market can never be predicted. It will do whatever the heck it wants.

Net sales increased 20%. Not bad, am I right? Wait, check this out. Earnings per share came in at 57 cents, compared to the 31 cents reported in the year-ago quarter. According to Reuters, that was a penny ahead of expectations. But that penny beat on the bottom line isn't what impresses me the most. It's the strong per-share profit expansion that I find compelling.

Continue reading Aeropostale posts a sharp increase in Q2 profit

Aeropostale posts a sharp increase in Q2 profit originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 21 Aug 2009 13:20:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading Abercrombie prepares to cut prices

Abercrombie prepares to cut prices originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 17 Aug 2009 15:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE: ANF) is such a funny stock story. The company reports what I thought was a quarter full of dire results, and the market still sends shares higher. They closed almost 4% higher, in fact, on Friday. I don't get it.

For the second quarter, sales decreased 23%, and the overall same-store sales statistic, which is a really important metric for retailers, sank 30%. A net loss of 30 cents per share was booked, mostly on the back of the discontinuation of the Ruehl business. Excluding the effect of the closure, Abercrombie made 8 cents per share, and that, according to Reuters, beat by a mile the expected loss of 7 cents per share.

Continue reading Abercrombie & Fitch bid higher after Q2 report -- why?

Abercrombie & Fitch bid higher after Q2 report -- why? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sat, 15 Aug 2009 15:10:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Last summer we lamented the price of gas. This year, however, there's at least one upside. Retail sales for June were up 0.6% - substantially better than the 0.4% anticipated - with the gas prices leading the charge. A slight tip in the brutalized auto manufacturer sector helped, as well. This was the largest retail sales increase in five months.

Gas stations benefited from the cost of fuel, adding a bit of pep to a beleaguered retail industry: sales were up 5% year over year, after doing the same in May. And, car dealers had their best month since January: the sales of cars and parts climbed 2.3%. Nonetheless, this corner of the retail world is still off 14.5% from last year. It may have helped last month, but we're still pretty far from a cure.

Continue reading Gas prices drive retail sales rebound, coveted brands still struggle

Gas prices drive retail sales rebound, coveted brands still struggle originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 14 Jul 2009 16:45:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Nike (NYSE: NKE) has thus far navigated this downturn exquisitely. It has maintained sales overseas, in particular in Asia. Nike's legendary supply-chain mastery and inventory management skills have likewise served it very well. So it was a shock when the shoe giant announced Wednesday that future orders had dropped by 12%, according to Bloomberg. Bummed out investors bid down Nike share's by nearly 5% in after-hours trading.

Granted, Nike faced difficult comps. During the Beijing Olympic Games last summer Nike togs were selling like hotcakes around the globe. And a chunk of the reduction in order value came due to currency fluctuations. But it's hard to deny that this quarterly earnings announcement was a bleak reminder that the "green shoots" may be more of a Washington creation than a reality in the global economy.

Continue reading Shoe drops on Nike

Shoe drops on Nike originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 25 Jun 2009 08:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading Abercrombie & Fitch finally pulls the plug on Ruehl

Abercrombie & Fitch finally pulls the plug on Ruehl originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 17 Jun 2009 15:10:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.